Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 14.909450 17.386778 20.085730 23.236401 26.804926 30.712615 35.306608
2025-05-04 10.961055 14.402671 18.537620 23.830516 30.380359 38.171496 48.087156
2025-05-11 8.400710 12.160844 17.045596 23.762961 32.652885 43.895793 59.051164
2025-05-18 6.583017 10.370501 15.633290 23.321545 34.076878 48.372015 68.546314
2025-05-25 5.263111 8.956268 14.408786 22.811828 35.148104 52.257116 77.356368
2025-06-01 4.263356 7.800675 13.325723 22.266958 35.975591 55.719465 85.685407
2025-06-08 3.365064 6.620495 11.996595 21.120770 35.704947 57.475141 91.586625
2025-06-15 3.023804 6.312316 11.993124 22.006996 38.546574 63.932939 104.700455
2025-06-22 2.663784 5.899338 11.742815 22.431605 40.653212 69.375978 116.589569
2025-06-29 2.241684 5.286041 11.047290 21.998220 41.282892 72.515997 125.078979
2025-07-06 1.835690 4.622192 10.156679 21.097334 41.006193 74.135896 131.209203
2025-07-13 1.732710 4.577885 10.430851 22.331581 44.498539 82.097926 147.941305
2025-07-20 1.622516 4.521989 10.721782 23.720858 48.552068 91.544240 168.160356
2025-07-27 1.436779 4.259676 10.569131 24.266700 51.183758 98.865939 185.503221
2025-08-03 1.227982 3.891480 10.132541 24.187639 52.635105 104.235282 199.877961
2025-08-10 1.027664 3.492331 9.557137 23.737585 53.310283 108.242151 212.104828
2025-08-17 0.856779 3.125672 8.989618 23.219697 53.779070 111.871314 223.839687
2025-08-24 0.712502 2.793434 8.442859 22.666357 54.102268 115.219221 235.224243
2025-08-31 0.565497 2.404543 7.678040 21.502368 53.024770 115.811723 241.569320
2025-09-07 0.524071 2.351726 7.783968 22.402360 56.410689 125.203759 264.739357
2025-09-14 0.469688 2.237379 7.702325 22.833537 58.805174 132.786116 284.879768
2025-09-21 0.394686 2.021430 7.293751 22.393447 59.216482 136.431254 297.681988
2025-09-28 0.318684 1.771164 6.732374 21.478565 58.450574 137.619255 305.760336